The first opinion polls since Merz’s ascension indicate varying prospects for parties across five regional elections, highlighting regional disparities. In Baden-Württemberg, the CDU narrowly missed the top position, while in Rheinland-Pfalz, it has regained the lead after 35 years. The AfD, particularly strong in East Germany, aims for its first governing role in Sachsen-Anhalt, where it garnered 30.5% in the 2024 European elections and 37.1% in the 2025 Bundestag elections. Three additional elections are scheduled for September.