As of early May, the AfD has surpassed the Union (CDU/CSU) with approximately 27% support, marking a notable increase of three to seven percentage points since the last election. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) has seen a decline to around 13%, while the Greens have gained traction, also at 13%, following a recent state election victory. The Free Democratic Party (FDP) and the BSW are polling below the critical five-percent threshold, suggesting they may not secure seats in the Bundestag. These trends reflect current voter sentiment but are subject to change before the next scheduled election in early 2029.