NATO struggles to finalize long-term military aid for Ukraine ahead of critical summit.

NATO members are locked in negotiations over the long-term commitment to military aid for Ukraine, just days before a pivotal summit in Ankara. While the alliance has confirmed a pledge of €70 billion for 2026, resistance remains over extending this commitment to 2027. Italy has reportedly opposed the inclusion of a specific timeline for sustained aid, leaving key language in the draft declaration unresolved.

Diplomatic sources reveal that the €70 billion figure includes €30 billion from an EU loan and €40 billion from prior NATO commitments. The proposal to maintain a comparable level of support in 2027 would double the total aid to €140 billion over two years. However, Italy’s reluctance to commit to the 2027 timeline has prompted further discussions among NATO ambassadors, with a resolution expected before the summit.

The debate underscores broader challenges within NATO regarding equitable burden-sharing. Germany and other major contributors have pushed for proportional contributions, but no fixed formula has been agreed upon. This lack of clarity mirrors previous disputes, such as the 2024 Washington summit, where NATO failed to extend aid commitments beyond one year due to opposition from then-President Joe Biden.

Historical context highlights the stakes of these negotiations. In 2025, NATO’s aid to Ukraine dropped significantly after the Trump administration ceased U.S. contributions, leaving Europe and Canada to shoulder the responsibility. The absence of a clear, long-term funding mechanism has repeatedly undermined NATO’s ability to provide consistent support.

Berlin has been a vocal advocate for solidifying multi-year commitments, arguing that predictable funding is crucial for Ukraine’s defense and stability. While the current draft declaration marks progress by reinstating a minimum aid figure, the lack of proportional contributions and resistance to extending timelines remain significant hurdles.

As NATO prepares for its Ankara summit, the outcome of these discussions will signal the alliance’s resolve in supporting Ukraine amid ongoing conflict. A firm, multi-year commitment would not only bolster Ukraine’s defense but also demonstrate NATO’s unity in addressing shared security challenges. However, internal divisions risk undermining this critical effort.